Análisis Hércules vs SD Ceuta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1942 |
JFC
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 2
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 1942 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1942 |
SDC
2 - 0
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 3
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 1942 |
SDC
1 - 0
MAL
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
SDC
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1942 |
SDC
3 - 2
SEV
25%
21%
54%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |