Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-2
Análisis Hércules vs Lleida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
VAD
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1997 |
LLE
1 - 0
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 1997 |
FCB
2 - 3
HER
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 ene. 1997 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1997 |
ECI
3 - 1
LLE
24%
29%
47%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1997 |
LLE
1 - 0
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 1997 |
LLE
2 - 0
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 ene. 1997 |
CDO
1 - 0
LLE
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 1996 |
LLE
0 - 3
ALB
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |