Análisis Hércules vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 1977 |
HER
2 - 0
RSO
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 2
HER
48%
29%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1977 |
VCF
1 - 0
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 1977 |
BUR
4 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1977 |
VCF
4 - 0
SEV
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 1977 |
VCF
1 - 0
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1977 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |