Análisis Hércules vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 1
HER
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1978 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1978 |
SPO
2 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 0
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 1978 |
CDT
0 - 0
VCF
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1978 |
VCF
0 - 0
RAC
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1978 |
VCF
3 - 0
CDT
83%
11%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 2
VCF
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1978 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |