Análisis Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.04
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.1%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 1949 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1949 |
HER
6 - 0
SLA
73%
15%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
HER
3 - 0
CAS
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 2
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1949 |
HER
1 - 3
GRA
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 0
MUR
49%
21%
30%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 2
VAL
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1949 |
VAL
3 - 1
RCD
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 1
VAL
80%
12%
9%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1949 |
VAL
3 - 2
ALC
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |