Análisis Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 1964 |
MAL
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1964 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 1964 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1964 |
HER
4 - 0
ALG
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
CEU
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1964 |
VAL
2 - 1
ELD
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1964 |
MEL
2 - 1
VAL
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 1964 |
VAL
2 - 0
SFE
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1964 |
REC
2 - 1
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 1964 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |