Análisis Hércules vs Real Valladolid
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 1965 |
MEL
1 - 2
HER
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1965 |
BAD
1 - 4
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1965 |
CAD
2 - 2
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1965 |
CDT
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 1965 |
VAD
1 - 1
CDB
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1965 |
HOS
1 - 0
VAD
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 1965 |
MUR
0 - 2
VAD
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 1965 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1965 |
CEU
1 - 1
VAD
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |