Análisis Heredia vs Zacapa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
HER
51%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 2
VEN
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2012 |
COM
2 - 2
ZAC
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
ZAC
0 - 0
HAL
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
ZAC
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2011 |
ZAC
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |