Análisis Hergiswil vs FC Sursee
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 2
HER
14%
16%
69%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCS
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 2
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 2
PER
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2018 |
FCS
6 - 1
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |