Análisis Hergiswil vs Sarnen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
LUZ
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 2
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2019 |
LUZ
3 - 0
SAR
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2019 |
EMM
6 - 2
SAR
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 2
FCC
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2019 |
PER
3 - 0
SAR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |