Quinta Suiza Jor. 17

Análisis Hergiswil vs Willisau

Hergiswil Willisau
27 ELO 20
3.9% Tilt 21.8%
22873º Ranking ELO general 30268º
237º Ranking ELO país 311º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
69.2%
Hergiswil
16.4%
Empate
14.4%
Willisau

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
Hergiswil
2.65
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.4%
Win probability
Willisau
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Hergiswil
Willisau
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Hergiswil
Hergiswil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 mar. 2016
ASC
Ascona
1 - 1
Hergiswil
HER
46%
21%
32%
25 28 3 0
11 mar. 2016
HER
Hergiswil
2 - 0
Eschenbach
ESC
43%
24%
33%
25 27 2 0
31 oct. 2015
SAR
Sarnen
1 - 0
Hergiswil
HER
27%
22%
51%
25 20 5 0
24 oct. 2015
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 1
Ibach
IBA
35%
25%
40%
25 32 7 0
14 oct. 2015
HER
Hergiswil
3 - 2
Kickers Luzern
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
25 17 8 0

Partidos

Willisau
Willisau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 mar. 2016
WIL
Willisau
1 - 3
Hochdorf
HOC
50%
21%
30%
20 21 1 0
12 mar. 2016
TEA
Team Ticino U21
1 - 1
Willisau
WIL
73%
16%
11%
20 30 10 0
04 nov. 2015
ASC
Ascona
2 - 2
Willisau
WIL
69%
17%
14%
20 29 9 0
31 oct. 2015
WIL
Willisau
7 - 2
FC Küssnacht am Rigi
KUS
55%
20%
25%
19 20 1 +1
24 oct. 2015
GOL
Goldau
7 - 3
Willisau
WIL
81%
11%
8%
20 29 9 -1