Análisis Herkol vs Alken


28	ELO	25
6.9%	Tilt	-3%
11739º	Ranking ELO general	37797º
341º	Ranking ELO país	800º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria

66.3%

Herkol

17.2%

Empate

16.5%

Alken

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles

66.3%
Probabilidad gana

                        
                    
2.6
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%

17.2%

Empate

0-0

2.1%

1-1

6.9%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

17.2%

16.5%
Probabilidad gana

                        
                    
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

-87%

-15%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Herkol

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 sep. 2018	HUV 1 - 4 HER 46% 22% 32%	27	26	1	0
05 ago. 2018	RAC 3 - 0 HER 46% 22% 32%	28	29	1	-1
29 jul. 2018	LEO 0 - 1 HER 70% 17% 13%	27	43	16	+1
22 abr. 2018	HER 1 - 1 BER 61% 18% 21%	27	23	4	0
15 abr. 2018	ZON 1 - 1 HER 28% 22% 50%	27	21	6	0