Análisis Hermann Aichinger vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2006 |
HER
3 - 2
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
HER
0 - 1
GAU
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 2
FFL
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2005 |
SAN
5 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |