Análisis Hermann Aichinger vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2008 |
AVA
6 - 0
HER
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
TUB
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 0
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 4
MET
34%
25%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2008 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUB
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |