Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Arroyo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 may. 1998 |
SJU
0 - 0
HER
59%
24%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +3 |
| 17 may. 1998 |
HER
2 - 3
ART
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 may. 1998 |
MUR
2 - 1
HER
46%
25%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2008 |
ARR
3 - 2
COR
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2008 |
CIU
4 - 2
ARR
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 may. 2005 |
MIA
3 - 2
ARR
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2005 |
ARR
2 - 3
CPC
12%
22%
66%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
PLA
3 - 0
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |