Análisis Hernán Cortés vs CD Don Benito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 1
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
JER
23%
26%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
MIA
1 - 0
HER
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
VIL
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
HER
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2012 |
DBN
1 - 1
DPC
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
DBN
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
DBN
1 - 0
CPL
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 4
DBN
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
DBN
3 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |