Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Valdehornillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.4
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+34%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 8
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 3
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 oct. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
RMC
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
HER
30%
24%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Valdehornillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIM
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAL
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 5
CAB
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |