Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Deportivo Pacense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
COR
9%
19%
72%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 2
ASJ
33%
27%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2014 |
DBN
2 - 1
HER
70%
20%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
OLI
27%
28%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Pacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2014 |
DPC
0 - 8
MAD
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 1
DPC
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
DPC
3 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
EXT
4 - 0
DPC
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
DPC
0 - 1
AZU
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |