Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Gargáligas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.45
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
HER
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
CHI
5 - 3
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 0
GAR
74%
18%
9%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
GAR
0 - 3
CPC
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 2010 |
CAS
4 - 2
GAR
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 5
CHI
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
GAR
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |