Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Malpartida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2010 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
CPC
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
SAG
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
HER
1 - 3
PLA
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 0
GAR
77%
16%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 3
MAL
24%
24%
53%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 0
CPC
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 1
CHI
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |