Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Orellana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
TAL
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2009 |
MAL
3 - 1
HER
17%
23%
61%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
GIM
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 2
HER
31%
24%
46%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 0
COR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 0
ORE
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 1
SAG
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 4
ORE
48%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 0
AMA
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +3 |