Análisis Herrera vs Ágreda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
79.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.73
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+205%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2016 |
BOQ
2 - 2
HER
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2016 |
SAA
2 - 0
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
SAD
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
ATC
4 - 0
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
ALM
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Ágreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 2
NOV
31%
23%
46%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
EMB
1 - 0
AGR
44%
24%
33%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
OLV
15%
18%
68%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
EUR
2 - 1
AGR
73%
16%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
AGR
2 - 3
RIV
24%
21%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |