Análisis Holstein Kiel vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2006 |
WER
3 - 0
HOL
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2006 |
HOL
2 - 0
HAM
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2006 |
STP
2 - 2
HOL
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 3
HOL
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2006 |
HOL
5 - 1
DIE
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2006 |
ERF
0 - 1
CZJ
22%
24%
53%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
ERF
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2006 |
ERF
1 - 0
WER
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2006 |
ERF
1 - 1
PRE
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
ERF
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |