Regionalliga Suroeste Jor. 16

Análisis FC 08 Homburg vs Mainz 05 II

FC 08 Homburg Mainz 05 II
54 ELO 45
10.9% Tilt 2.2%
1897º Ranking ELO general 3291º
82º Ranking ELO país 145º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
73.1%
FC 08 Homburg
16.5%
Empate
10.4%
Mainz 05 II

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC 08 Homburg
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Mainz 05 II
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
FC 08 Homburg
-6%
+16%
Mainz 05 II

Progresión del ELO

FC 08 Homburg
Mainz 05 II
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 oct. 2019
AST
Astoria Walldorf
3 - 3
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
26%
24%
51%
54 46 8 0
19 oct. 2019
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
4 - 2
TSG Balingen
BAL
83%
12%
5%
54 38 16 0
14 oct. 2019
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
0 - 3
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
18%
23%
59%
53 42 11 +1
08 oct. 2019
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
1 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
11%
16%
73%
53 69 16 0
05 oct. 2019
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
2 - 1
RW Koblenz
KOB
90%
8%
2%
53 29 24 0

Partidos

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 oct. 2019
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 2
SV Elversberg
ELV
23%
24%
53%
47 53 6 0
19 oct. 2019
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
1 - 3
Mainz 05 II
MAI
65%
21%
14%
45 52 7 +2
12 oct. 2019
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 0
Bahlinger SC
BAH
43%
25%
32%
44 44 0 +1
05 oct. 2019
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
73%
17%
10%
44 52 8 0
29 sep. 2019
MAI
Mainz 05 II
3 - 2
Freiburg II
FRE
24%
25%
52%
42 50 8 +2