Copa del Este de Asia Ronda Preliminar Jor. 5

Análisis Hong Kong vs Guam

Hong Kong Guam
58 ELO 33
2.3% Tilt -0.3%
5187º Ranking ELO general 30273º
14º Ranking ELO país 16º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
86.6%
Hong Kong
9.6%
Empate
3.8%
Guam

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Hong Kong
3.02
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.6%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Guam
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Hong Kong
-27%
-32%
Guam

Progresión del ELO

Hong Kong
Guam
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Hong Kong
Hong Kong
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 feb. 2003
HKG
Hong Kong
10 - 0
Mongolia
MNG
84%
11%
5%
58 39 19 0
24 feb. 2003
HKG
Hong Kong
3 - 0
Macao
MAC
82%
12%
6%
58 40 18 0
22 feb. 2003
HKG
Hong Kong
2 - 0
Taiwan
TWN
82%
12%
6%
58 41 17 0
25 mar. 2001
HKG
Hong Kong
0 - 3
Catar
QAT
22%
25%
53%
58 78 20 0
23 mar. 2001
HKG
Hong Kong
2 - 1
Malasia
MAS
46%
25%
29%
57 60 3 +1

Partidos

Guam
Guam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 feb. 2003
GUM
Guam
0 - 7
Taiwan
TWN
27%
23%
50%
36 42 6 0
26 feb. 2003
GUM
Guam
0 - 2
Macao
MAC
34%
23%
43%
37 40 3 -1
24 feb. 2003
MNG
Mongolia
2 - 0
Guam
GUM
55%
21%
25%
38 40 2 -1
26 nov. 2000
TJK
Tayikistán
16 - 0
Guam
GUM
74%
15%
11%
39 53 14 -1
24 nov. 2000
IRN
Irán
19 - 0
Guam
GUM
93%
6%
1%
40 87 47 -1