Análisis Lorca FC vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 2
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 ene. 2015 |
SRQ
3 - 0
LOR
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 ene. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 3
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 dic. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
SEV
65%
21%
13%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
UCA
33%
29%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
LUC
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ROD
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 dic. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
73%
18%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |