Análisis Ideal vs Gafetense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.65
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
IDE
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 1
ANG
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
BEN
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
GAF
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 2
BEN
9%
18%
73%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 3
ACV
8%
16%
75%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2016 |
SIN
0 - 1
GAF
80%
15%
6%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
GAF
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |