Análisis Ilinden Velmej vs Vardar Negotino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ilinden Velmej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2007 |
JUG
4 - 0
ILI
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
ILI
2 - 3
BEL
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
KAR
1 - 2
ILI
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
ILI
0 - 1
MIL
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2007 |
CEM
1 - 1
ILI
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
Partidos
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2007 |
HTR
1 - 0
VAN
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 2
JUG
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 2
VAN
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
VAN
4 - 0
KAR
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 abr. 2007 |
MIL
4 - 1
VAN
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |