Análisis Illueca vs Montecarlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
ICF
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2024 |
ICF
3 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2024 |
ATC
2 - 1
ICF
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 0
MAL
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2024 |
SDB
0 - 1
ICF
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 2
PRA
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
UDM
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 2024 |
UDM
0 - 0
CEL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |