Análisis Incresa vs Abrera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+302%
+65%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2018 |
SJD
3 - 2
INC
23%
19%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2018 |
INC
0 - 2
LLP
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 2018 |
SAB
0 - 1
INC
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2016 |
INC
4 - 0
SVV
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2016 |
BBS
2 - 2
INC
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Abrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2018 |
ABR
4 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2018 |
ABR
3 - 1
VMV
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 2018 |
SJD
0 - 0
ABR
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 may. 2018 |
ABR
3 - 0
TOR
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 may. 2018 |
CPM
4 - 0
ABR
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |