Análisis Independente SP vs Flamengo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
12.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.04
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-29%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
IND
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
SEP
59%
21%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 3
FLA
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
IND
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
VOT
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
FLA
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
REM
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 1
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 2
AME
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |