Análisis Independente SP vs Taubaté
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-38%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 0
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
JUV
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 2
IND
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
IND
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
RIO
18%
20%
63%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 4
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
TAU
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |