Análisis Independiente Medellín vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 2
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
PAS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
CER
0 - 1
DEF
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
JUV
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 1
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUN
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |