Análisis Independiente PA vs Castanhal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.7
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2019 |
REM
2 - 0
IND
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
REM
16%
20%
63%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 abr. 2019 |
PAY
1 - 0
IND
75%
15%
9%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2019 |
IND
3 - 1
PAY
10%
17%
73%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
IND
53%
22%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2020 |
REM
4 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
TAP
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2019 |
REC
0 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2019 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
82%
13%
5%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |