Análisis Independiente vs Lanús
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.4%
Probabilidad gana
3.14
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.5%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1938 |
EST
1 - 3
IND
42%
22%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1938 |
IND
5 - 0
PLA
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1938 |
BOC
0 - 4
IND
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1938 |
IND
9 - 2
CHA
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1938 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
40%
22%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1938 |
LAN
6 - 2
TIG
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1938 |
EST
3 - 2
LAN
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 1938 |
LAN
7 - 2
PLA
54%
20%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 nov. 1938 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 1938 |
LAN
1 - 1
CHA
56%
19%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |