Análisis Independiente vs Instituto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2005 |
LAN
2 - 4
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
IND
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2005 |
IND
4 - 2
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 jun. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jul. 2005 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 2005 |
HUR
1 - 4
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 jun. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 jun. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 3
INS
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 may. 2005 |
INS
0 - 0
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |