Análisis Independiente vs Instituto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2013 |
DYJ
0 - 0
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
DHA
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 0
FER
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
GIM
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 1
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
GIM
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 0
INS
33%
27%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
INS
4 - 1
CDN
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |