Copa Libertadores . Final
Global 6-4
Análisis Independiente vs Peñarol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1965 |
IND
0 - 0
BOC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1965 |
BOC
1 - 0
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1965 |
IND
2 - 0
BOC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 1964 |
IND
2 - 2
SLO
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1964 |
ATL
2 - 1
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 1965 |
SAN
5 - 4
PEÑ
65%
18%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |