Análisis Instituto vs C.A.I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2003 |
JAN
2 - 2
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2003 |
HUR
0 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2003 |
INS
2 - 1
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
GOD
2 - 3
INS
46%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
C.A.I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2003 |
CAI
0 - 3
ALM
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2003 |
ARG
1 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
CAI
1 - 0
SMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2003 |
AND
0 - 0
CAI
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
JAN
2 - 0
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |