Análisis Itabaiana vs Lagarto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+42%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 3
PPE
7%
19%
75%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
RIP
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 0
ITA
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
OSE
3 - 0
ITA
34%
28%
39%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
Partidos
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 3
EST
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
LAG
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LAG
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 3
RIP
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |