Análisis Italia Sub21 vs España Sub21
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Italia Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 3
ITA
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
IRL
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2012 |
ITA
7 - 0
LIE
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 7 | 77 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2012 |
NED
0 - 3
ITA
32%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
España Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
DEN
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2012 |
ESP
6 - 0
CRO
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2012 |
SUI
0 - 0
ESP
30%
27%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
ESP
7%
16%
77%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |