Análisis Italia Sub21 vs Lituania Sub21
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.4
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.44
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Italia Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1995 |
ITA
2 - 1
UKR
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1995 |
CRO
2 - 2
ITA
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1995 |
ITA
1 - 0
SVN
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1995 |
UKR
2 - 1
ITA
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Lituania Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 1995 |
LTU
3 - 0
EST
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1995 |
LTU
3 - 3
UKR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 ago. 1995 |
EST
0 - 5
LTU
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 jun. 1995 |
LTU
1 - 2
SVN
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |