Análisis Jaguares FC vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 2
AUR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 1
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 mar. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOR
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2003 |
ATL
5 - 1
JAG
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 0
AME
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
PUE
3 - 1
TOL
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 2
CON
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2003 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2003 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |