Análisis Jaguares FC vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jul. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 4
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 2
PAC
28%
25%
46%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAF
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
JAG
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2016 |
PAC
2 - 1
JAG
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |