Análisis Jerez vs Moraleja
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.83
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
10.3%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.45
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+50%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1997 |
GUA
0 - 4
JER
13%
20%
66%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1997 |
JER
1 - 0
SAM
86%
11%
3%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1997 |
OLI
1 - 3
JER
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 1997 |
JER
2 - 2
VIL
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 1997 |
EST
0 - 2
JER
9%
20%
71%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1997 |
MOR
3 - 3
CPC
22%
25%
52%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1997 |
ARR
0 - 0
MOR
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1997 |
MOR
0 - 1
VIL
14%
22%
64%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1997 |
COR
3 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 1997 |
MOR
2 - 3
CDZ
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |