Análisis Jerez vs Marbella FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30%
Empate
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
31.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+46%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 0
JER
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
JER
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
JER
2 - 1
SEV
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
CDL
40%
31%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
Partidos
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 0
EXT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2004 |
SEV
0 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |