Análisis Jerez vs Valdelacalzada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+38%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 3
JER
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
SNV
1 - 3
JER
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2012 |
JER
2 - 2
ASJ
68%
21%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
CDZ
1 - 0
JER
48%
25%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Valdelacalzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
MIA
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
VAL
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
PLA
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
32%
27%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |