Análisis JJ Urquiza vs Def. Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
JJU
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
JJU
0 - 1
LIN
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2011 |
MID
0 - 1
JJU
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
JJU
2 - 0
LAF
31%
30%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
JJU
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 0
CAD
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 0
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
TAL
1 - 1
CAD
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
EXC
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
CAD
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |