Análisis Joinville vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
JEC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 1
CRB
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 oct. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 0
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 2012 |
JEC
0 - 0
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
BOA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2012 |
OES
0 - 0
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
OES
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 0
CHA
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -3 |
| 01 nov. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
LUV
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 2012 |
CHA
5 - 0
TUP
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |