Análisis Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 0
JWI
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2003 |
JWI
2 - 0
BLO
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 6
JWI
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2003 |
JWI
0 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
RPO
1 - 1
JWI
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2003 |
AUR
3 - 1
CIP
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2003 |
OPE
6 - 2
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
AUR
2 - 0
IBE
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 2
AUR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2003 |
AUR
3 - 3
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |